A Working Report · El Tiempo Latino · Tiempo Company

THE D.C. LATINO
HEALTH COVERAGE
MODEL, UNDER THREAT

Washington, D.C. protects its Latino residents better than any jurisdiction in the region. The 2026 federal Medicaid cuts and new immigration-status rules put that hard-won gain at risk. This is what works, what threatens it, and what keeps families covered.
Washington, D.C. · July 2026
5.3%
D.C. Latino uninsured rate, the lowest in the DMV
$0
Premium and cost-sharing under the Healthy DC Plan
74K
Latino residents, 12.6% of the District
Oct '26
Non-citizen eligibility restrictions begin to take effect
−3.5pts
Hispanic coverage drop when outreach funding was cut
More likely to stay enrolled with in-person help
Sources: DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority · KFF · U.S. Census Bureau · American Journal of Health Economics · Migration Policy Institute
Executive Summary

The region's success story, now with something to lose.

Washington, D.C. is the clearest evidence in the region that Latino health coverage can be nearly universal. The District's Latino uninsured rate is 5.3%, by far the lowest in the DMV, because most low- and moderate-income residents are covered through Medicaid and local programs such as the Healthy DC Plan, rather than the volatile ACA marketplace. Nationally, roughly 90% of marketplace enrollees rely on the premium tax credits that just shrank; far fewer D.C. residents depend on that mechanism, so when the enhanced subsidies expired, the District was largely insulated.

That is the good news, and it is real. But it is not permanent. The other half of the 2026 story, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's $911 billion in federal Medicaid cuts, does reach D.C. Those cuts phase in through 2027 via funding sunsets, six-month redetermination cycles, and, most consequentially for the District's Latino community, non-citizen eligibility restrictions taking effect in October 2026.

D.C.'s Latino population, roughly 74,000 residents concentrated in Columbia Heights, Mount Pleasant, Adams Morgan, and Petworth, includes many immigrant and mixed-status households. For them, the risk in 2026 is less about the marketplace and more about two things: losing eligibility outright under the new federal rules, and disenrolling from coverage they still qualify for, out of confusion or fear as the rules change around them.

That second risk is where communication becomes decisive. The national evidence is clear: when outreach and enrollment assistance were cut, Hispanic and Spanish-speaking families lost coverage first, and much of that loss was people who remained eligible but fell out amid the churn. In a jurisdiction that has done the hard work of covering its Latino residents, the job now is to hold that gain, and holding it depends on clear, trusted, Spanish-language communication through a period of rule changes.

The argument in one line: D.C. proves near-universal Latino coverage is possible, and the way to protect that achievement through the 2026 federal changes is trusted, Spanish-first communication that keeps eligible families enrolled.
Sources: DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority, KFF, U.S. Census Bureau ACS, American Journal of Health Economics (Myerson & Li, 2022), Migration Policy Institute, CMS
The D.C. Latino Health Coverage Model, Under ThreatEl Tiempo Latino · 02
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Section 01

A Latino Success, Worth Protecting

Start with the people, and with what has gone right. Washington, D.C. is home to roughly 74,000 Latino residents, 12.6% of the District, concentrated in Columbia Heights, Mount Pleasant, Adams Morgan, and Petworth. Their uninsured rate is 5.3%, the lowest of any jurisdiction in the DMV and a fraction of Maryland's 24.3% or Virginia's 20.3%.

5.3%
Latino uninsured rate, lowest in the DMV
74K
Latino residents, 12.6% of the District
~90%
Of U.S. marketplace enrollees rely on the credits that shrank; most D.C. residents are on Medicaid instead

The reason is structural. Most low- and moderate-income D.C. residents are covered through Medicaid and local programs such as the Healthy DC Plan, which offers $0-premium, $0-cost-sharing coverage, rather than through the subsidy-dependent marketplace. When the enhanced ACA credits expired on January 1, 2026, the mechanism that collapsed elsewhere in the region barely touched most of D.C.'s Latino families. This is the clearest regional proof that direct public coverage is more durable than tax-credit-dependent marketplace coverage under federal policy volatility.

That success is exactly what is now at stake. The rest of this report is not about a crisis that has already happened in D.C. It is about protecting a gain that federal changes are beginning to erode, and about the specific role communication plays in holding it.

What D.C. got right
Sources: DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority, U.S. Census Bureau ACS, KFF
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Section 02

What Changed, and Why the Model Is at Risk

D.C.'s insulation from the subsidy cliff is real but partial. The 2026 changes came in two parts. The first, the expiration of the enhanced ACA premium tax credits, largely missed D.C. because so few residents depend on marketplace subsidies. The second, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's $911 billion in Medicaid cuts, does not miss D.C. at all.

Those cuts phase in through 2027: enhanced federal funding sunsets, six-month redetermination cycles add renewal friction, and non-citizen eligibility restrictions take effect in October 2026. For a Latino population with many immigrant and mixed-status households, the third of these is the sharpest, and the redetermination churn is the most likely to cause quiet, avoidable coverage loss.

Why D.C.'s Latino families are still exposed
18.4%
National Latino uninsured rate vs. 6.8% for White Americans
21% / 39%
Latino share of the population vs. share of the uninsured
14M
Projected to lose coverage nationally by 2034 under the combined federal changes

Nationally, Latinos are 21% of the nonelderly population but 39% of the uninsured, and an estimated 4 million of the 14 million projected to lose coverage by 2034 are Latino. D.C. has protected its residents from the first wave, but the Medicaid provisions reach the exact households the District worked hardest to cover. The risk is not that Healthy DC disappears; it is that eligible immigrant families fall out of coverage during a period of confusing rule changes, or lose eligibility under the new non-citizen restrictions without a clear path to an alternative.

This is a different problem from Maryland's or Virginia's, but it points to the same solution. Where those states need to slow active losses, D.C. needs to prevent quiet ones.

Sources: KFF, CMS, Migration Policy Institute, U.S. Census Bureau ACS, Congressional Budget Office
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Section 03

D.C. on the Ground

D.C. is the region's model, and studying it shows both what durable coverage looks like and where even a strong system is now exposed. The Healthy DC Plan is the anchor: $0-premium, $0-cost-sharing coverage that keeps the marketplace from being most residents' only option.

5.3%
Latino uninsured rate held through the subsidy cliff
$0
Premium and cost-sharing under Healthy DC
Oct '26
Non-citizen eligibility restrictions begin

Because far fewer D.C. residents depend on marketplace premium subsidies than the roughly 90% who do nationally, most being covered through Medicaid and local programs instead, the subsidy expiration that drove Virginia's early-2026 losses had little equivalent effect in the District. That is the model working. But the Medicaid cuts introduce three new pressures that Healthy DC cannot fully offset: the October 2026 non-citizen eligibility restrictions, six-month redetermination cycles that raise the paperwork burden, and the general climate of fear that discourages eligible families from staying enrolled.

The lesson of the D.C. case is that a strong coverage system is necessary but not self-sustaining under federal pressure. The infrastructure exists; keeping families connected to it through the coming changes is a communication task, not a coverage-design task. The District has done the expensive part. Protecting the return on it is comparatively cheap, and it runs through language and trust.

What D.C.'s experience shows
Sources: DC Health Benefit Exchange Authority, KFF, CMS, Migration Policy Institute
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Section 04

Why It Still Cuts Deeper

Even in a well-covered jurisdiction, coverage disruption is more dangerous for Latino families than for others, because the same four structural frictions apply. In D.C. they shape who is most at risk of falling out of the system as the rules change.

1.6×

Diabetes prevalence

Latinos are diagnosed with diabetes at 1.6 times the rate of White patients. Even a short coverage gap during a redetermination cycle interrupts insulin access and routine screening, turning a paperwork lapse into a health event.

53.8%

Language

53.8% of Latino adults who are not proficient in English are uninsured nationally. In D.C., redetermination notices and eligibility-change communications that arrive in English are the most likely point at which an eligible family quietly loses coverage.

14%

Access to care

14% of Latino adults report no usual source of care. For those who fall out of Healthy DC, the absence of an established provider means fewer places to get re-enrolled or even to learn they have lost coverage.

FEAR

Immigration status

The October 2026 non-citizen eligibility restrictions turn public-charge fear into concrete loss for some, and a chilling effect for many more, including families whose members remain fully eligible. This is D.C.'s single largest coverage risk.

Each friction points the same direction: the D.C. households most at risk are immigrant, Spanish-dominant, and navigating rule changes they did not ask for. They are the hardest to reach with an English-language notice and the most responsive to a trusted explanation in their own language. That is the bridge to protecting the model.
Sources: CDC, KFF, Commonwealth Fund, Pew Research Center, Migration Policy Institute
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Section 05

Communication Holds the Gain

In a jurisdiction that has already done the hard work of covering its Latino residents, the task is not to close a gap but to keep one from opening. The research is unusually clear that communication is what does it: for Latino and Spanish-speaking families, how coverage changes are communicated is one of the strongest predictors of whether they stay enrolled.

The proof by subtraction: when outreach was cut, Latinos fell out first

A peer-reviewed study used the roughly 80% federal cut to ACA outreach and navigator funding as a natural experiment, comparing counties by how much they had relied on the programs. Coverage fell most for exactly the groups now at risk in D.C., much of it among people who remained eligible.

−3.5 pts
Total coverage decline among Hispanic adults, a 6.3% relative drop, the largest of any group measured.
−3.0 pts
Coverage decline among people who speak a language other than English at home.
−2.4%
Marketplace enrollment decline among lower-income adults (150 to 200% of the poverty line).

Read that in reverse. The communication that was cut had been holding coverage in place for Latino and Spanish-speaking families. This is precisely D.C.'s risk in 2026: not a subsidy collapse, but eligible families quietly falling out during redeterminations and rule changes because no one explained, in their language, what to do. Sustained communication prevents that.

The proof by addition: culturally specific communication keeps people enrolled
Consumers who got in-person enrollment help were about twice as likely to successfully enroll. Latinos sought that help at far higher rates than White consumers.
254K
People reached across the DMV in a campaign El Tiempo Latino ran with a national patient-advocacy nonprofit, explaining medication-cost policy in plain Spanish.
+37%
Higher engagement for our native, in-language content versus standard display ads, the difference between a message seen and a message acted on.

One finding runs through all of it: translation is not enough. What keeps families enrolled is culturally specific communication, in trusted settings, that explains what is changing and confirms in the language families speak what they still qualify for, then points them to their official enrollment channel. El Tiempo Latino does not run the enrollment desk. It is the trusted layer in front of it, and in D.C. it is the most cost-effective way to protect a coverage achievement that is already built.

Sources: American Journal of Health Economics (Myerson & Li, 2022) navigator natural-experiment study; Enroll America; Commonwealth Fund; El Tiempo Latino campaign reporting
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Section 06

Working Together

D.C. has built near-universal Latino coverage. Protecting it through the 2026 federal changes is a communication job, and the communication that works is culturally specific and Spanish-first. El Tiempo Latino does not run the enrollment desk; it is the trusted layer in front of it, explaining what is changing and pointing families to their official channels. For health plans, DC Health, hospitals and clinics, and community organizations, this is where protecting the model becomes a plan, each for a different reason: plans keep members through redetermination, agencies hold eligible residents in coverage, and providers avoid the uncompensated care that follows quiet disenrollment.

What El Tiempo Latino reaches in the DMV
535K
Reachable Latino digital audience across the DMV
450K
Monthly digital impressions to DMV Latinos
+8K
Daily newsletter subscribers
~90K
Weekly print readers, 600+ distribution points

Across social (+38K followers, 6.91% engagement vs. a 2.18% market average), the website (+65K monthly views), the daily newsletter, and a print edition whose readers are 76% "very interested in health issues." Native, in-language content outperforms standard display ads by 37%. Source: El Tiempo Latino 2025 Media Kit.

1

We are the trusted messenger

As eligibility rules shift, D.C.'s Latino families need a source they trust to explain what is changing and confirm what they still qualify for. El Tiempo Latino has held that position in the District for 35 years.

2

We have done this in health

A campaign we ran with a national patient-advocacy nonprofit reached 254,000 people across the DMV, explaining medication-cost policy in plain Spanish. The same job, applied to keeping families enrolled.

3

Protecting a built asset is efficient

D.C. has already paid for the expensive part, the coverage itself. Sustained communication protects that investment at a fraction of the cost of re-enrolling families who fall out.

What a program looks like, and what it costs

Programs combine explainer articles and video, Spanish-language social distribution, newsletter placement, and print, and they are priced by reach. As a benchmark, a month-long campaign putting a Spanish-language message in front of a large share of our reachable DMV Latino audience runs in the low-to-mid five figures; a smaller, targeted program starts around $9,000 for roughly 400,000 impressions. We report reach, impressions, clicks, and trackable actions such as co-branded landing-page visits within seven days.

On compliance: we work with regulated health plans and public agencies. Creative and claims run through your compliance and legal review, and we follow CMS and carrier marketing guidelines. We stay on the awareness-and-education side and direct audiences to their official enrollment channels.

This report is a starting point, not a pitch. If protecting D.C.'s Latino coverage gain through the 2026 changes is on your organization's agenda, the conversation we want to have is about how communication holds it, and what that could look like together.
Sources: El Tiempo Latino 2025 Media Kit; Tiempo Company campaign reporting; underlying data per Methodology.
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Section 07

Methodology & Sources

This report synthesizes publicly available data from federal, District, nonprofit, and peer-reviewed research sources, current as of July 2026. Where D.C.-specific or Latino-specific figures were not directly published, the closest available proxy or national rate is used and labeled accordingly.

SourceData providedScope
DC Health Benefit Exchange AuthorityHealthy DC Plan and D.C. marketplace subsidy dataWashington, D.C.
KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation)ACA enrollment, uninsured rates by race/ethnicityNational / by group
U.S. Census Bureau (ACS)Latino population counts and sharesWashington, D.C.
CMS · Migration Policy InstituteMedicaid provisions under OBBBA; non-citizen eligibility effectsNational
American Journal of Health Economics (Myerson & Li, 2022)Navigator-funding natural experiment; coverage effects by groupNational / by group
Enroll America · Commonwealth FundIn-person assistance and outreach effects on enrollmentNational / Latino
El Tiempo Latino 2025 Media Kit · Tiempo Company campaign reportingAudience reach and engagement; past health-campaign resultsEl Tiempo Latino
CDC · Pew Research CenterDiabetes prevalence, language and coverage correlationNational rate

All figures reflect the most recently available data as of July 2026 and are subject to revision. The navigator natural-experiment figures describe national effects by demographic group and are applied to D.C. as directional evidence, not as D.C.-specific measurements. Audience and campaign figures are from the El Tiempo Latino 2025 Media Kit and past Tiempo Company campaign reporting; they are indicative of reach, not a guarantee of future results.

The D.C. Latino Health Coverage Model, Under ThreatEl Tiempo Latino · 09
Let's talk

THE D.C. LATINO
HEALTH COVERAGE
MODEL, UNDER THREAT

A working report from El Tiempo Latino · Tiempo Company

Andrea Chacón
andrea@tiempocompany.com
1301 K St NW, 3rd Floor, Washington, D.C. 20005
The heartbeat of Latino D.C. for 35 years